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Prediction markets priced 10 midterm questions the night before. All 10 favourites won. That proves less than you think.
jukkablomberg profile

Prediction markets priced 10 midterm questions the night before. All 10 favourites won. That proves less than you think.

#predictionmarkets #statistics #datascience #python
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3 min read
How to price a horizon contract: the fair strike, your edge and what a quote costs
rizonmarkets profile
Rizon

How to price a horizon contract: the fair strike, your edge and what a quote costs

#trading #quant #math #predictionmarkets
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7 min read
The Hype Picks Moonshot. The Money Picks Xiaomi.
max_quimby profile

The Hype Picks Moonshot. The Money Picks Xiaomi.

#china #ai #predictionmarkets #opensource
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9 min read
Is Polymarket Too Broken to Bot, or Just Broken Enough to Filter Out the Noise?
nina_antalpha profile

Is Polymarket Too Broken to Bot, or Just Broken Enough to Filter Out the Noise?

#trading #bots #predictionmarkets #quantitative
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4 min read
Kalshi by the numbers: 7.7M markets, 72M trades (Becker dataset)
pmusecases profile

Kalshi by the numbers: 7.7M markets, 72M trades (Becker dataset)

#data #kalshi #predictionmarkets #opensource
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2 min read
Why Your PolyCopy App Needs a Circuit Breaker for LLM APIs
garage23auto_a7c1e189d84f profile

Why Your PolyCopy App Needs a Circuit Breaker for LLM APIs

#polymarket #crypto #trading #predictionmarkets
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3 min read
Architecting Resilience: Building a Multi-Provider LLM Proxy with Automatic Failover
garage23auto_a7c1e189d84f profile

Architecting Resilience: Building a Multi-Provider LLM Proxy with Automatic Failover

#polymarket #crypto #trading #predictionmarkets
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2 min read
OpenAI Blitzed. The Money Didn't Move.
max_quimby profile

OpenAI Blitzed. The Money Didn't Move.

#ai #machinelearning #predictionmarkets #openai
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8 min read
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