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The Fill Model Is Where Backtests Quietly Cheat

The Fill Model Is Where Backtests Quietly Cheat

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4 min read
Mean vs Median: When to Use Each, and When the Answer Changes

Mean vs Median: When to Use Each, and When the Answer Changes

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16 min read
What Is a P-Value? Worked by Shuffling Nine Real Orders 126 Ways

What Is a P-Value? Worked by Shuffling Nine Real Orders 126 Ways

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15 min read
Percentiles, the IQR and the 1.5 Outlier Rule: How to Flag a Bad Row

Percentiles, the IQR and the 1.5 Outlier Rule: How to Flag a Bad Row

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17 min read
Moving Averages: Smoothing a Series Without Smoothing Away the Truth

Moving Averages: Smoothing a Series Without Smoothing Away the Truth

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17 min read
What a Clean Equity Curve Doesn't Prove

What a Clean Equity Curve Doesn't Prove

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4 min read
What Shuffling Your Trade History Actually Tells You (And What It Doesn't)

What Shuffling Your Trade History Actually Tells You (And What It Doesn't)

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4 min read
A/B Testing for Analysts: Sample Size First, Result Second

A/B Testing for Analysts: Sample Size First, Result Second

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16 min read
Confidence Procedures Are Production Code

Confidence Procedures Are Production Code

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9 min read
A Higher Pass Rate Can Mean a Worse Model. The Math Is Simpson's Paradox.

A Higher Pass Rate Can Mean a Worse Model. The Math Is Simpson's Paradox.

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4 min read
A judge that agrees with your humans 92 percent of the time can be at 60 percent where the gate actually decides

A judge that agrees with your humans 92 percent of the time can be at 60 percent where the gate actually decides

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8 min read
đź§© How Close Are We to the Human Limit of Solving a Rubik's Cube?

đź§© How Close Are We to the Human Limit of Solving a Rubik's Cube?

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2 min read
Choice Leaks: I Tried to Generate 100 Random Digits and Failed in Four Measurable Ways

Choice Leaks: I Tried to Generate 100 Random Digits and Failed in Four Measurable Ways

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6 min read
Correlation Is Pairwise. Multicollinearity Isn't.

Correlation Is Pairwise. Multicollinearity Isn't.

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6 min read
Running Multiple A/B Tests at Once: When Overlap Is Safe

Running Multiple A/B Tests at Once: When Overlap Is Safe

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7 min read
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